A 11:10 a kan Nuwamba 8, da polyester ethylene glycol samfurin Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd. na Shaanxi Coal Group bisa hukuma kaddamar!Wannan shi ne karo na farko da ake jigilar kayayyakin polyester grade ethylene glycol da Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd., wanda ya cika bukatun GB/T4649-2018, zuwa Zhejiang Hengyi Group Co., Ltd., sanannen masana'antar polyester. a kasar Sin.
Bayan farashin ya ci gaba da faɗuwa kuma ya sami sabon raguwa a cikin shekara, makomar ethylene glycol ta shiga matakin haɓaka ƙasa.A cikin 'yan kwanakin nan, idan aka kwatanta da PTA da fiber mai mahimmanci a cikin sarkar masana'antu iri ɗaya, farashin ethylene glycol ya sake dawowa da ƙarfi, da zarar ya jagoranci dukkanin sassan polyester.Mafi raunin "shi" a cikin sashin polyester ya tashi ba zato ba tsammani.Shin “kifin gishiri ne”?
Kwanan nan, farashinethylene glycolan sake dawo da shi a ƙaramin matakin, wanda ke jagorantar haɓakar mafi yawan sinadarai.Dangane da haka, Shi Jiaping, babban manazarci na Huarui Information, ya bayyana cewa, a daya bangaren, fitar da bangaren samar da sinadarin ethylene glycol ya fi fitowa fili.A watan Nuwamba, kayan farawa na ethylene glycol na cikin gida ya ragu zuwa 55% - 56%, yayin da iskar gas ɗin roba zuwa ethylene glycol farawa lodi ya ragu zuwa kusan 30% - 33%, asali ƙarancin tarihi.A gefe guda, farashin ethylene glycol ya faɗi zuwa ƙaramin matakin, wanda ya karkata da yawa daga kimantawa.A halin yanzu, tunanin kasuwa ya yi zafi, kuma samfuran da ke da matsananciyar riba a farkon matakin suna buƙatar gyara.
Kwanan nan, makomar ethylene glycol ta koma baya kuma ta tashi, wanda ya kasance "na musamman" a cikin sashin polyester.A gaskiya ma, wani nau'i ne na gyaran ƙima bayan an yi cinikin duk mummunan fare.A cikin dogon lokaci, har yanzu akwai nau'ikan na'urori da yawa da ake sa ran za a yi amfani da su a nan gaba.Koyaya, a ƙarƙashin irin wannan mummunan yanayin, gami da ƙananan cire hannun jari a tashar jiragen ruwa da haɓakar dogon lokaci na amfani daga manufofin macro, za su samar da haɓakar haɓakar haɓakar haɓakar ethylene glycol.Daga sakamakon, haɓakar ethylene glycol kwanan nan ya fi sauran samfuran polyester.
1. Ana ƙara haɓaka ƙarfin samarwa, kuma haɓakar haɓakar kwal zuwa ethylene glycol yana da girma.
Bisa kididdigar da aka yi cikin zurfin nazari kan bunkasuwar masana'antun kasar Sin Ethylene Glycol da rahoton binciken zuba jari a nan gaba (2022-2029) da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Guanyan ya fitar, a cikin 'yan shekarun nan, masana'antar ethylene glycol ta duniya ta samu ci gaba cikin sauri, tare da karfin samar da sinadarin ethylene glycol da kuma karuwar yawan amfanin gona a shekara. da shekara.A cikin 2021, ikon samar da ethylene glycol na duniya zai karu da kashi 19.4% a shekara, kuma abin da ake fitarwa zai karu da kashi 7.5% a shekara.A karkashin wannan yanayin, karfin samarwa da kuma fitar da masana'antar ethylene glycol ta kasar Sin ma na karuwa a kowace shekara.
Dangane da ƙarfin samarwa, yayin da ƙasar ta fi mai da hankali kan masana'antar ethylene glycol, jagora mai dacewa da manufofin tallafi kamar Tsarin Ƙarfafa haɓakawa da Aikace-aikacen Fasaha da Samfura a Masana'antar Petrochemical da Chemical Industry a 2021, Ra'ayoyin Jagora game da Ingantawa Ana ci gaba da fitar da babban ingancin bunkasuwar masana'antar man petur da masana'antar sinadarai a lokacin "shirin shekaru goma sha hudu" da kuma ra'ayoyin jagoranci game da babban ingancin ci gaban masana'antar fiber sinadarai a shekarar 2022, kuma yanayin manufofin masana'antu ya ci gaba da kasancewa mai kyau, Ethylene glycol ta kasar Sin. karfin samarwa yana karuwa kowace shekara.Bisa kididdigar da aka yi, karfin samar da sinadarin ethylene glycol na kasar Sin zai karu daga tan miliyan 8.32 zuwa tan miliyan 21.45 daga shekarar 2017 zuwa 2021, tare da matsakaicin karuwar sinadarai na shekara-shekara da kusan kashi 31%.
Dangane da yawan iya aiki, yawan amfani da karfin ethylene glycol a kasar Sin ya yi kadan a halin yanzu, wanda ya kai kusan kashi 68.63% a shekarar 2017;Zai karu zuwa 73.42% ta 2019. Duk da haka, daga 2020 zuwa 2021, saboda tasirin warewa na annoba a gida, kula da na'urar ethylene glycol, rabon wutar lantarki da farashin kwal mai girma, nauyin farawa na gida ethylene glycol yana da ƙasa, kuma gabaɗaya. Masana'antu sun fara raguwa sosai, wanda ya haifar da karfin amfani da ethylene glycol a kasar Sin ya ragu zuwa 60.06% da 55.01% a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata.
Dangane da fitarwa, tare da haɓaka ƙarfin kasuwar ethylene glycol da haɓakar buƙatun gabaɗaya, fitarwar kuma yana nuna yanayin haɓakar shekara-shekara.Daga shekarar 2017 zuwa 2021, yawan sinadarin ethylene glycol na kasar Sin ya karu daga tan miliyan 5.71 zuwa tan miliyan 11.8, kuma adadin karuwar da take fitarwa ya kuma nuna wani ci gaba a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata, sakamakon babban ci gaban da ake samu a fannin samar da kayayyaki.A shekarar 2021, yawan karuwar fitar da sinadarin ethylene glycol na kasar Sin ya kai kusan kashi 21.65% a duk shekara, wanda ya kai kashi 2.63 bisa dari na shekarar 2020.
Daga canjin karfin samar da sinadarin ethylene glycol na kasar Sin, za a iya ganin cewa, an kara inganta karfin samar da sinadarin ethylene glycol a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata, kuma sana'ar tana cikin wani mataki na ci gaba da bunkasuwa.
Dangane da tsarin masana'antu, akwai matakai guda uku na samar da ethylene glycol a kasar Sin: hadewa (tsarin naphtha/ethylene), MTO (methanol zuwa olefin) da kwal zuwa ethylene glycol.A halin yanzu, saboda ƙwararrun fasahar man fetur zuwa ethylene glycol a kasar Sin, wadda ita ce hanyar da ake amfani da ita, ƙarfin ƙirar man fetur zuwa ethylene glycol ya kai mafi girma.A shekarar 2021, karfin samar da man fetur zuwa ethylene glycol a kasar Sin zai kai fiye da kashi 60%, kuma yawan abin da ake fitarwa zai wuce tan miliyan 7;Na biyu shi ne kwal zuwa fasahar ethylene glycol (hanyar kwal ita ce a fara amfani da iskar gas da farko, sannan a yi amfani da ruwa da carbon monoxide a cikin iskar gas a matsayin albarkatun ƙasa don shirya ethylene glycol), tare da ikon samarwa fiye da 30% da kuma fitar da ya wuce tan miliyan 3.Farashin man fetur ya tashi a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata, kuma samar da kwal zuwa ethylene glycol a kasar Sin ya karu cikin sauri.A shekarar 2021, samar da kwal zuwa ethylene glycol a kasar Sin zai karu da kusan kashi 50 cikin dari a kowace shekara.Kamar yadda kasar Sin ke da tsarin makamashi na "yawan kwal, karancin iskar gas da karancin mai", kwal zuwa ethylene glycol shine halin kasar Sin ta fuskar samar da ethylene glycol gaba daya a kasar Sin.A nan gaba, kwal na kasar Sin zuwa ethylene glycol yana da babban damar ci gaba.
2. Nafita tana da rauni da wuyar ingantawa
Rashin wadata da buƙata ya haifar da mummunan aiki na sashin ethylene glycol, kuma samarwa ya kasance a cikin mummunan riba.A lokaci guda kuma, aikin kayan albarkatunsa na naphtha da ethylene shima yana sluggish, yana sa tallafin farashin ethylene glycol ya raunana.
Dangane da kasuwannin duniya na albarkatun danyen ethylene glycol, hadewar naphtha ne ke da kaso mafi yawa, sai kuma samar da iskar gas da ethane a ketare, da samar da kwal a kasar Sin.Haɗin Naphtha ya kasance wani tsari ne na samarwa tare da fa'ida mai ƙarfi, amma a wannan shekara, ƙaƙƙarfan farashin mai da ƙarancin amfani ya haifar da hasarar gabaɗaya a cikin sarkar masana'antar olefin, sassan ɓarkewar ethylene sun rage yawan samarwa a babban yanki, da farashin ɗanyen man naphtha. bambanci da zarar ya shiga mummunan kewayon, Wannan yana nufin cewa farashin samfurin ya kasance ƙasa da na albarkatun ƙasa, kuma samarwa yana cikin hasara.Ya zuwa karshen watan Oktoba, bambancin farashin da ke tsakanin naphtha da danyen mai ya kasance yana karkata zuwa sifili.Rashin ƙarfi na naphtha yana sa ethylene glycol rashin tallafin farashi.Saboda haka, a cikin aiwatar da hauhawar farashin mai da faɗuwa, naphtha yana biye da farashin mai, kuma ethylene glycol ya rasa tallafin farashi.Wannan kuma muhimmin abu ne don farashin ethylene glycol ya ci gaba da raunana tun kashi na biyu na wannan shekara.
3. Farashin gawayi mai ƙarfi ba zai iya tallafawa ethylene glycol ba
Layin samar da gawayi wani tsari ne na musamman na ethylene glycol a kasar Sin.A halin yanzu, karfin samar da kwal a cikin gida ya kai tan miliyan 8.65, wanda ya kai kashi 37% na yawan karfin gida.Farashin kwal sinadarai yana da ƙarfi sosai, kuma yana aiki akan fiye da yuan 1100 a mafi yawan shekara, kuma ya kai fiye da yuan 1300 tun watan Satumba.Asarar kwal zuwa ethylene glycol ya fi yuan 1000 / ton.Saboda tushen syngas da kowane rukunin ke amfani da shi ya bambanta, takamaiman ribar samarwa za a iya yanke hukunci kawai.Duk da haka, kwal zuwa ethylene glycol yana cikin yanayin asara tun kashi na biyu na wannan shekara, kuma asarar na ci gaba da zurfafa tare da ƙarfafa farashin kwal.Koyaya, wasu tsire-tsire masu sinadarai na kwal suna amfani da iskar gas ɗin wutsiya na coke don samarwa, wanda na sake amfani da sharar gida ne kuma farashin kwal bai shafe shi ba;Bugu da kari, akwai wasu na'urori masu tallafi na kamfanonin kwal.A cikin aiwatar da hauhawar farashin kwal, ribar kwal ɗin da ke sama tana da wadata, don haka haƙurin asarar ethylene glycol na ƙasa yana inganta.Saboda haka, za mu iya ganin cewa, ko da yake ribar kwal zuwa ethylene glycol ba shi da kyau a wannan shekara, naúrar ba ta da wani m tasiri a kan ribar sauyin yanayi idan aka kwatanta da shekarun baya.Sauyawa mai ƙara kuzari na shekara-shekara da sauran buƙatun kulawa na rukunin an tattara su a cikin kwata na uku, wanda ya haifar da raguwar saurin aiki na kwal zuwa ethylene glycol.Gabaɗaya, ban da rufe rukunin ma'adinan albarkatun ƙasa da yawa na waje saboda matsalolin riba a cikin shekara, aikin raka'a na tushen kwal yana da kwanciyar hankali a wannan shekara, tare da iyakancewar tallafi ga ethylene glycol.
Neman gaba zuwa gaba, ƙarancin wadata da tsammanin buƙatun zai kiyaye farashin ethylene glycol a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba.Ton 600000 na rukunin tan miliyan 1.8 a Yulin, Shaanxi Coal Minne an ƙaddamar da aikin, kuma sauran tan miliyan 1.2 ana shirin saka su a cikin kwata na huɗu.Bugu da kari, an samar da aikin na'urar ethylene glycol ton miliyan 1 na Jiutai.A nan gaba, akwai kuma sa ran cewa Sanjiang ton miliyan 1 MTO da na'urar ethylene glycol da ke tallafawa Shenghong Petrochemical za a samar da su.Daga kashi na huɗu zuwa rabi na farko na shekara mai zuwa, sabon matsin lamba oethylene glycol har yanzu yana da girma.Rashin ƙarancin amfani da tasha yana ci gaba da ja da ƙasa a kasuwar olefin.Ƙananan farashin naphtha yana sa ethylene glycol rashin tallafi na farashi, kuma ƙaƙƙarfan farashin kwal na gida yana da wuyar samun tasiri mai mahimmanci akan ethylene glycol.Tsammanin farashi mai rauni da wadata da buƙatu zai sa farashin ethylene glycol ya ragu.
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Lokacin aikawa: Dec-16-2022