Kwanan nan, masana'antar titanium dioxide ta cikin gida ta sami hauhawar farashin gamayya karo na huɗu a cikin shekarar.Duk da haka, sakamakon rashin amfani da kadarori na ƙasa da sauran masana'antu da kuma tasirin raguwar buƙatu, har yanzu farashin titanium dioxide ya faɗi da fiye da kashi 20% idan aka kwatanta da farashin yuan 20,000 kan kowace ton a farkon shekara.Babban ya faɗi da kusan 30%.
1. Farashin fiye da nau'ikan nau'ikan sinadarai 60 sun faɗi, kuma duk sarkar masana'antar shafa "ta ruguje"
Duban kasuwar sinadarai a cikin 2022, ana iya kwatanta shi a matsayin kufai, kuma waɗancan haruffan haɓakar farashin ba su canza yanayin mummunan yanayi na umarni mara ƙarfi ba da kuma rasa tallafi a cikin kasuwar sinadarai.
Idan aka kwatanta da maganar da aka yi a farkon shekarar 2022, farashin kayayyakin sinadarai sama da 60 sun fadi, daga cikinsu farashin BDO ya fadi da kashi 64.25%, farashin DMF da propylene glycol sun fadi da sama da kashi 50%, sannan Ton farashin spandex, TGIC, PA66 da sauran kayayyakin sun ragu da fiye da yuan 10,000.
Bugu da ƙari, a cikin sarkar masana'antar sutura, abubuwan da ke sama, abubuwan da ake buƙata, pigments da filler, abubuwan ƙirƙirar fim da sauran sarƙoƙi na masana'antar albarkatun ƙasa suma sun sami raguwar farashin.
A cikin sharuddan kwayoyin kaushi, farashinpropylene glycolya fadi da yuan/ton 8,150, raguwar fiye da kashi 50%.Farashin dimethyl carbonate ya faɗi da yuan/ton 3,150, raguwar 35%.Farashin ton na ethylene glycol butyl ether, propylene glycol methyl ether, butanone, ethyl acetate, da butyl acetate duk sun fadi da fiye da yuan 1,000, ko kuma kusan kashi 20%.
Farashin resin epoxy na ruwa a cikin sarkar masana'antar guduro ya fadi da yuan/ton 9,000, ko kuma 34.75%;Farashin resin epoxy mai ƙarfi ya faɗi da yuan 7,000/ton, ko kuma 31.11%;Farashin epichlorohydrin ya fadi da yuan 7,800/ton, ko kuma 48.60%;Farashin bisphenol A ya fadi da yuan 6,050/ton, raguwar 33.43%;Farashin guduro polyester na cikin gida a cikin sama na rufin foda ya faɗi da yuan 2,800 / ton, digo na 21.88%;Farashin resin polyester na waje ya faɗi da yuan 1,800/ton, raguwar 13.04%;sabuwa Farashin pentilene glycol ya faɗi da yuan 5,700/ton, raguwar 38%.
Farashin acrylic acid a cikin sarkar masana'antar emulsion ya faɗi da yuan 5,400 / ton, raguwar 45.38%;Farashin butyl acrylate ya fadi da yuan/ton 3,225, raguwar 27.33%;Farashin MMA ya fadi da yuan 1,500/ton, raguwar 12.55%.
Dangane da lamurra, farashin titanium dioxide ya faɗi da yuan / ton 4,833, raguwar 23.31%;farashin abubuwan da ake ƙara TGIC sun faɗi da yuan 22,000/ton, ko kuma raguwar 44%.
Idan aka kwatanta da shekarar 2021, lokacin da masana’antar kera kayan kwalliya ta karu da kudaden shiga amma ba ta kara samun riba ba, kuma kamfanonin albarkatun kasa suka samu kudi da yawa, yanayin kasuwa a shekarar 2022 ya wuce tunanin kowa.Wasu suna fada da karfi, wasu sun zabi yin karya, wasu kuma sun zabi barin……Komai zabin da ka yi, kasuwa ba za ta ji tausayin duk mai kula da kamfani ba.
A halin yanzu, galibin kasuwannin ƙasa ne ke ƙayyade hauhawar farashin.A farkon shekara, yawancin masana'antu sun rufe aiki da samarwa, rufewar sufuri na tsakiyar shekara ya sa ya zama da wahala a saya da siyarwa, kuma a ƙarshen shekara, "Golden Satumba da Azurfa Oktoba" sun rasa alƙawura.Yawancin sarƙoƙin masana'antu na ƙasa suna hutu na kwanaki 100, an rufe su tsawon rabin shekara, sun rufe, kuma sun yi fatara.Resins, emulsions, titanium dioxide, pigments da fillers, sauran kayan taimako a cikin sarkar masana'antu sun fuskanci raguwar oda a cikin oda kuma dole ne a yanke farashin don kama kasuwa.
2. Babu sauran shimfidar wuri?Yawancin nau'ikan albarkatun ƙasa sun faɗi!Yi hutu kawai!
Ta fuskar duk kasuwar sinadarai, 2022 za a iya cewa kawai don rayuwa ne.Haɓaka a cikin 2021 da rashin kulawa a cikin 2022 zai yi wahala a dorewa ba tare da 'yan "kwayoyin ceton zuciya" ba!
Dangane da sa ido kan bayanan Guanghua, daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba 15, 2022, daga cikin sinadarai 67 da aka sanya ido a kai, 38 sun sami raguwar farashin, wanda ya kai kashi 56.72%.Daga cikin su, kusan nau'ikan sinadarai 13 sun ragu da fiye da kashi 30%, kuma akwai shahararrun samfuran kamar acetic acid, sulfuric acid, epoxy resin, da bisphenol A.
Idan aka yi la’akari da halin da ake ciki a kasuwanni, haqiqa kasuwar sinadarai gaba xaya ta yi kasala, wadda ba za ta iya rabuwa da koma bayan tattalin arzikin duniya a bana.Ɗauka BDO, wanda ya kasance mai karye a bara, alal misali.A halin yanzu, BDO's downstream spandex canja wurin sake zagayowar ya fuskanci duka farashin da bukatar.Tarin masana'antar a bayyane yake.Bugu da kari, karfin samar da BDO na cikin gida da ake ginawa ya kai tan miliyan 20.Damuwar “yawanci” yana yaduwa nan take.BDO ya ragu da yuan 17,000 a wannan shekara.
Ta fuskar bukatar, OPEC ta sake rage hasashen bukatar man fetur a duniya a watan Nuwamba.Ana sa ran cewa bukatar man fetur a duniya zai karu da ganga miliyan 2.55 a kowace rana a shekarar 2022, wanda hakan ya yi kasa da ganga 100,000 a kowace rana fiye da hasashen da aka yi a baya.Wannan shi ne OPEC ta farko tun watan Afrilun bana.An rage hasashen buƙatun mai na 2022 sau biyar.
3. A halin yanzu, duniya gaba ɗaya tana faɗawa cikin “karancin tsari”
▶Amurka: Barazanar koma bayan tattalin arziki ya karu yayin da masana'antun Amurka suka fitar da mafi rauni tun daga shekarar 2020 a watan Oktoba yayin da oda suka fadi kuma farashin ya fadi a karon farko cikin sama da shekaru biyu.
▶ Koriya ta Kudu: Ma'aunin sarrafa siyayyar masana'antar Koriya ta Kudu (PMI) ya faɗi zuwa 47.6 a watan Agusta daga 49.8 a cikin Yuli bayan daidaita yanayin yanayi, ƙasa da layin 50 na wata na biyu a jere kuma mafi ƙarancin matakin tun Yuli 2020.Daga cikin su, fitarwa da sabbin umarni sun nuna raguwa mafi girma tun watan Yuni 2020, yayin da sabbin odar fitar da kayayyaki suka nuna raguwa mafi girma tun watan Yuli 2020.
▶ Ƙasar Ingila: Abubuwan da suka shafi abubuwa kamar faɗuwar buƙatun ƙasashen waje, tsadar sufuri, da tsawon lokacin isar da saƙo, abin da ake samarwa na Burtaniya ya faɗi a wata na uku a jere, kuma umarni ya faɗi a wata na huɗu a jere.
▶ Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya: Bukatun Turai da Amurka sun ragu, kuma an soke sayar da kayan daki a kudu maso gabashin Asiya da yawa.Wani bincike na kamfanoni 52 da wata kungiya ta gudanar a Vietnam ya nuna cewa kusan kashi 47 (wanda ke lissafin kashi 90.38%) mambobin kamfanoni sun yarda cewa odar fitar da kayayyaki a manyan kasuwanni ya ragu, kuma kamfanoni 5 ne kawai suka kara odar da kashi 10% zuwa 30%.
4. Wahala!Har yanzu ana ceton birnin sinadarai?
Tare da irin wannan mummunar kasuwa, yawancin ma'aikatan sinadarai ba za su iya yin mamaki ba: Yaushe za su iya sake farfadowa?Ya dogara da abubuwa masu zuwa:
1) Shin rikicin Rasha da Ukraine zai iya ci gaba da tsananta?A matsayinta na babbar kasa mai mai, mai yiwuwa matakin na gaba na Rasha zai canza yanayin makamashi a Turai gaba daya.
2) Shin akwai jerin ayyuka a duniya don sakin tsare-tsaren haɓaka tattalin arziƙi kamar kayan more rayuwa?
3) Shin akwai ƙarin matakan inganta manufofin cikin gida kan annobar?Kwanan nan, ma'aikatar al'adu da yawon bude ido ta soke gudanar da ayyukan hadin gwiwa na tafiye-tafiyen larduna da wuraren hadarurruka.Wannan alama ce mai kyau.Haɓaka da faɗuwar masana'antar sinadarai suna da alaƙa da haɓakar tattalin arziƙi ko faɗuwa.Lokacin da aka inganta yanayin gabaɗaya, ana iya fitar da buƙatar tasha akan babban sikeli.
4) Shin akwai wani ƙarin tabbataccen manufofin tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙi don buƙatun ƙarshen?
5. Rashin raguwa ya ragu saboda "farashi mai tsayi da kasuwa mai tsayi" na kiyayewar rufewa
Baya ga BDO, PTA, polypropylene, ethylene glycol, polyester da sauran masana'antun sarkar masana'antu sun sanar da rufewa don kulawa.
▶ Phenol ketone: An rufe rukunin ketone 480000 t/a phenol ketone na Changchun Chemical (Jiangsu) don kulawa, kuma ana sa ran za a sake farawa a tsakiyar watan Nuwamba.Ana ta ci gaba da bibiyar bayanai.
▶ Caprolactam: karfin caprolactam na Shanxi Lubao yana da tan 100000 a kowace shekara, kuma an rufe shukar caprolactam don kulawa tun ranar 10 ga Nuwamba. kuma ana shirin ɗaukar kimanin kwanaki 40.
▶ Aniline: Shandong Haihua 50000 t/na'urar Aniline an rufe shi don kulawa, kuma lokacin sake farawa ba shi da tabbas.
▶ Bisphenol A: Nantong Xingchen 150000 t/a bisphenol An rufe shuka don kulawa, kuma ana sa ran kulawar zai wuce mako guda.Ana sa ran rufewa da kula da 150000 t/a bisphenol A shukar masana'antar filastik ta Kudancin Asiya (Ningbo) Co., Ltd. za ta ɗauki wata 1.
▶ Cis polybutadiene roba: Shengyu Chemical's 80000 t/a nickel series cis polybutadiene roba shuka yana da layi biyu, kuma za a rufe layin farko don kulawa daga Agusta 8. Rufewa da kula da Yantai Haopu Gaoshun polybutadiene roba shuka.
▶ PTA: Rukunin PTA na Yisheng Dahua mai nauyin tan miliyan 3.75 ya tashi da kashi 50% a yammacin ranar 31 ga wata, sakamakon matsalar kayan aiki, kuma an dage aikin kula da na'urar PTA tan 350000 a gabashin kasar Sin zuwa karshen wannan mako. , tare da gajeriyar rufewar kwanaki 7.
▶ Polypropylene: 100000 ton na Zhongyuan Petrochemical, 450000 ton na alatu Xinjiang, 80000 ton na Lianhong Xinke, 160000 ton na Qinghai Salt Lake, 3000000 ton na petrochemical naúrar Tianjin zuwa 00 0 ton naúrar na Tianjin Petrochemical, da tan 35000+350000 na rukunin Haiguo Longyou suna cikin halin rufewa.
Bisa kididdigar da ba ta cika ba, yawan aikin fiber sinadaran fiber, masana'antun sinadarai, karafa, taya da sauran masana'antu sun nuna alamun raguwa sosai, kuma manyan masana'antu sun tsaya don kulawa ko kuma haifar da raguwa a cikin kasuwa.Tabbas, abin jira a gani shine yadda tasirin rufewar yanzu zai kasance.
Abin farin cikin shi ne, yayin da aka fitar da manufofin rigakafin cutar guda 20, alfijir na annobar ya bayyana, kuma raguwar sinadarai ya ragu.Bisa kididdigar da Zhuochuang Information ta fitar, kayayyaki 19 sun tashi a ranar 15 ga Nuwamba, wanda ya kai kashi 17.27%;60 samfurori sun kasance masu tsayi, suna lissafin 54.55%;31 samfurori sun ragu, suna lissafin 28.18%.
Shin kasuwar sinadarai za ta koma baya kuma ta tashi zuwa ƙarshen shekara?
JinDun Chemicalyana da OEM sarrafa shuke-shuke a Jiangsu, Anhui da sauran wuraren da suka yi hadin gwiwa shekaru da yawa, samar da ƙarin m goyon baya ga musamman samar da sabis na musamman sunadarai.JinDun Chemical ya dage kan ƙirƙirar ƙungiya tare da mafarkai, yin samfuran tare da mutunci, ƙwarewa, tsauri, da fita gaba ɗaya don zama amintaccen abokin tarayya da abokin abokan ciniki!Yi ƙoƙarin yinsabbin kayan sinadaraikawo kyakkyawar makoma ga duniya!
Lokacin aikawa: Dec-12-2022